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Romney Wins Big – Let the VP Stakes Begin
First, I take no pleasure whatsoever saying this. Romney will be the GOP nominee. Santorum has run out of field. There are not enough truly conservative states left to get him to the nomination. Of course he will keep going in the hopes of a contested convention, but in their hearts of hearts they know it is not in the cards.
Therefore, it is time. VP Stakes:
There are plenty to choose from.
Herman Cain: I don’t see it. The issues that came up about the affair would scare off any candidate in my mind. Why deal with that distraction when you don’t have to? I give this almost no chance.
Paul Ryan: A great choice, but very young. He also has very young children who he doesn’t want to put into the spotlight at their tender ages. Which just makes me love him all the more. Also, very remote chance of this happening.
Chris Christie: This is a non-starter as far as I am concerned. I like many things about Christie, but he adds nothing to the ticket. He won’t bring NJ over to the GOP. He is just as moderate as Romney is in most respects. So I give this almost no chance.
Michele Bachman: She will excite the base, but let’s be honest; she is a loose cannon. Romney won’t take the chance of her blowing his last chance at being president.
Marco Rubio: He is dynamic and from a swing state. He had a great deal of tea party support. Notice I said had. There are many in the Tea Party who have lost confidence in him. He has some issues with a brother-in-law who has had some drug dealing issues. Of course that has nothing to do with him, he didn’t marry the guy, but the media will have some fun with that. He also has said that he has zero intention of taking it even if offered. Of course much easier to say no to a reporter than to the nominee. He is also young. He may feel he isn’t ready yet. I would give this a 50/50 chance.
Allen West: West has been favorable towards Newt, although he never came out and endorsed him. West has the entire package that the conservative base is looking for. He will make an excellent attack dog on the stump. He will pull no punches with Obama, which will allow Romney to stay above the fray and concentrate on comparing and contrasting policies with the Obama administration. West had some issues in Iraq that will come up again. He sometimes doesn’t always filter what he is saying. He also just moved in order to run for congress again. I would give this maybe a 40% chance.
Sarah Palin: Heaven knows she has been vetted. But she is also very polarizing. I also don’t think she would accept. Why be the small dog again when she had the chance to run for the big seat and decided to bow out? I give this less than a 20% chance.
Rand Paul: I like Rand. A lot as a matter of fact. He also is another that will take on Obama without fear. His down side is that it will add fuel to the fire to the people who accused Romney and Ron Paul of working together and Rand getting the VP seat as the payoff. It will alienate the people who believe this. But, it may bring in Ron Paul fans. Not likely, but some may be willing to vote for him. I would say this is about a 30% chance.
I don’t see him taking any of the candidates he went up against. The blood between Newt and him is way to bad for it to be repaired. It looks like it is starting to get that way with Rick now as well. I would give this the least likely of the scenarios.
My pick is Gov. Bob McDonnell of Virginia. He is currently the head of the RGA. Has a rising profile nationally. He has spoken at the Reagan library recently and was received well. His administration has been very successful. He has increased revenues without raising taxes, VA’s ratings has increased under his administration, he has kept most of his promises when he was elected, (one more year to fulfill the balance). He is also a very good campaigner. He is a staunch conservative, which Romney needs to excite the base. Virginia is a swing state, and right now is trending to Obama by 8 points with Romney as the nominee. (Which Romney was the best of the remaining candidates).
Your predictions?
just a conservative girl, 
signpainterguy, and 1 other are discussing. 
Potluck 
signpainterguy 11:03 PM on 03/20/2012 Permalink |
With Romney only just past 1/3 of the way to 1,440 delegates required to garner the nomination, you might at least “consider” that you could be jumping the gun a bit early. Santorum has already surprised the “experts” ! Much can happen and I pray it will ! I do not want Rombama !
Alan West would fill the VP bill for me.
Marco Rubio just may be ineligible as his parents were not citizens at the time of his birth; IF I understand it correctly. A shame; I like his brand of conservatism !
just a conservative girl 6:58 AM on 03/21/2012 Permalink |
There is no viable path to the nomination for anyone but Romney. You have to remember a few things, starting April 1 most states become winner takes all. You also have to look at many of the states that are left, Maryland, CT, CA, are not going to vote for Santorum. Where he does well is where they are large numbers of evangelicals. He also still has places where he is not even on the ballot; DC for instance. He also has issues with delegates in PA. He has very few delegates that he can win in that state, even though he will more than likely win the state.
It is over. Romney is the nominee. Rick had to have IL last night to have any kind of chance and he fell way short.
Cubans back in the 60’s were given citizenship very quickly. He may very well have been born to citizens. Also, the court has never ruled on what Natural Born Citizen means. I admire your consistency in the matter though. I have read quite a few people going after Santorum as well.
signpainterguy 5:05 PM on 03/21/2012 Permalink |
As I said, Santorum won some states the experts said he wouldn`t; I`m not giving up on him !
Article 2, Section 1 of the US Constitution is clear enough on what constitutes a Natural Born Citizen; a person born on US lands to parents who are citizens. Notice “parents” is plural; meaning, not one parent or the other, but BOTH ! THAT makes Obama ineligible. IF Cubans were given immediate(ish) citizenship, then there`s probably no issue with Rubio`s NBC status ! That would be good !
Joe 3:27 AM on 03/21/2012 Permalink |
If you any understanding of math Rick has lost. He’s beginning to embarass himself. If Mitt picks Rand and flips the NADA hes got my vote.
fuzislippers 5:17 PM on 03/25/2012 Permalink |
Great post. Romney needs two things: foreign policy cred and TEA Party support. Make that three things, actually, because he needs to reach out to minorities, too.
For these reasons, the short list for the Romney campaign probably includes Rubio, Jindal, and West. No way in hell is either Palin or Bachmann on it, but they may be stupid enough to consider Christie or Rand Paul. I doubt he’s thinking Ryan as Ryan’s strength is the economy and budget (the same as Romney’s purported strengths). Ryan would add to a Santorum ticket, not Romney’s. I’d love to see him pick Herman Cain, but seriously doubt it’s even a distant thought. My pick is Colonel West.
There is a chance that he’ll go with Nicki Haley, a smart choice for the women’s/minority vote, but I wouldn’t put money on that one.
just a conservative girl 6:03 PM on 03/25/2012 Permalink |
The reason that I think he will go McDonnell over West is that Romney is a play it safe kind of guy and West is very bold choice. I am not sure he is that bold.
fuzislippers 6:18 PM on 03/25/2012 Permalink |
I like McDonnell, but he adds nothing to the Romney ticket. He’d balance an unhinged Newt, tho. ;)
just a conservative girl 6:45 PM on 03/25/2012 Permalink |
Well A. Newt won’t be the nominee (much to your happiness I am sure;}) and B. he can’t take McDonnell anyway. They are from the same state. You are right, West adds a great deal, but I still think it is a little more bold than Romney is willing to go.
fuzislippers 6:50 PM on 03/25/2012 Permalink |
Oh Romney will all but sell his soul for a political win. He proved that in 1994.